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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Bogota FC x Boca Juniors De Cali Betting tips for July 30 in Colombia Primera B
Tuesday, 30 July 2024, 18h00 Colombia Primera B
Bogota FC Bogota FC
PREDICTION Bogota FC wins Probability 39% 1 X 2
Boca Juniors De Cali Boca Juniors De Cali
ODD: @2.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Bogota FC x Boca Juniors De Cali Betting tips for July 30 in Colombia Primera B

Our betting tip for Bogota FC x Boca Juniors De Cali, Tuesday, 30/7/2024
๐Ÿ“… 30/7/2024
18:00
Bogota FC Bogota FC
2.55
X
3.18
Boca Juniors De Cali Boca Juniors De Cali
2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bogota FC x Boca Juniors De Cali:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bogota FC wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bogota FC, you can win up to $1275.00!

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The main points for the tip for Bogota FC x Boca Juniors De Cali:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bogota FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Boca Juniors De Cali in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $275.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bogota FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Boca Juniors De Cali scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Boca Juniors De Cali, Bogota FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Boca Juniors De Cali matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Boca Juniors De Cali is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Bogota FC has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Boca Juniors De Cali.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Bogota FC x Boca Juniors De Cali?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bogota FC x Boca Juniors De Cali, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bogota FC x Boca Juniors De Cali for the Colombia Primera B – 30 of July

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Bogota FC X Boca Juniors De Cali – Colombia Primera B
๐Ÿ“… 30 of July, 2024 – 18:00
๐Ÿ”ต Bogota FC – Winning probability: 39.98% | Fair line: 2.5
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.29% | Fair line: 4.93
๐Ÿ”ด Boca Juniors De Cali – Winning probability: 39.73% | Fair line: 2.52
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bogota FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bogota FC x Boca Juniors De Cali right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1153466 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bogota FC x Boca Juniors De Cali

Is betting on Bogota FC worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Bogota FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $620.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$20.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $436.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$364.00.

Should you bet on Boca Juniors De Cali?

๐Ÿ”ด Boca Juniors De Cali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$0.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bogota FC x Boca Juniors De Cali

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bogota FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bogota FC x Boca Juniors De Cali

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Bogota FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Bogota FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Boca Juniors De Cali.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bogota FC x Boca Juniors De Cali

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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