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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Bolton x Exeter Betting tips for November 25 in England League 1
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England League 1
Bolton Bolton
PREDICTION Bolton wins Probability 9% 1 X 2
Exeter Exeter
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Bolton x Exeter Betting tips for November 25 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Bolton x Exeter, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Bolton Bolton
1.60
X
3.91
Exeter Exeter
4.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bolton x Exeter:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bolton wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bolton, you can win up to $800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Bolton x Exeter:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bolton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $238.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Exeter in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the home team, Bolton scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Bolton is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Bolton x Exeter

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Bolton x Exeter?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2023. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Bolton x Exeter for the England League 1 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Bolton X Exeter – England League 1
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Bolton – Winning probability: 81.54% | Fair line: 1.23
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.92% | Fair line: 11.21
๐Ÿ”ด Exeter – Winning probability: 9.53% | Fair line: 10.49
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bolton
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bolton x Exeter is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bolton x Exeter

Is it a good idea to bet on Bolton?

๐Ÿ”ต Bolton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – profiting $492.00;
  • And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$312.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $261.90;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$648.10.

Is it worth betting on Exeter?

๐Ÿ”ด Exeter: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$510.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bolton x Exeter

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bolton
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bolton x Exeter

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Bolton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Bolton. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bolton x Exeter

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves