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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Bolton x Northampton Betting tips for January 28 in England League 1
Tuesday, 28 January 2025, 19h45 England League 1
Bolton Bolton
PREDICTION Bolton wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Northampton Northampton
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Bolton x Northampton Betting tips for January 28 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Bolton x Northampton, Tuesday, 28/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 28/1/2025
19:45
Bolton Bolton
1.40
X
4.57
Northampton Northampton
7.24

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bolton x Northampton:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bolton wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bolton, you can win up to $700.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Bolton x Northampton:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bolton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Northampton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Bolton scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Northampton matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Bolton matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Bolton is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Northampton has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bolton x Northampton for the England League 1 โ€“ 28 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Bolton X Northampton โ€“ England League 1
๐Ÿ“… 28 of January, 2025 โ€“ 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Bolton โ€“ Winning probability: 89.33% | Fair line: 1.12
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 7.37% | Fair line: 13.58
๐Ÿ”ด Northampton โ€“ Winning probability: 3.31% | Fair line: 30.22
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -1.0 Bolton
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bolton and Northampton.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1252829 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1ร—2 market for Bolton x Northampton

Is betting on Bolton worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Bolton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 89.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 890 times โ€“ having a profit of $356.00;
  • And would lose other 110 times โ€“ losing -$110.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$246.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times โ€“ having a profit of $249.90;
  • And would lose other 930 times โ€“ losing -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$680.10.

Should you bet on Northampton?

๐Ÿ”ด Northampton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times โ€“ profiting $187.20;
  • And would have lost other 970 times โ€“ with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$782.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bolton x Northampton

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -1.0 Bolton
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Bolton x Northampton

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Bolton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Bolton.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: 1.25 Northampton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bolton x Northampton

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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