Boston River x Cerro Largo Betting tips for April 13 in Uruguay Apertura
π
13/4/2025 18:00 |
![]() 2.48 |
X 2.91 |
Cerro Largo ![]() 2.85 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Boston River x Cerro Largo:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Boston River x Cerro Largo
Some important points for the tip for Boston River x Cerro Largo: π If you had bet $100 on Boston River in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |

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Analysis from Boston River x Cerro Largo for the Uruguay Apertura β 13 of April
ποΈ Boston River X Cerro Largo β Uruguay Apertura |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Boston River and Cerro Largo.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302187 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1Γ2 market for Boston River x Cerro Largo
Is betting on Boston River worth it?
π΅ Boston River: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 390 times β this would give you a profit of $577.20
- And would lose other 610 times β having a loss of -$610.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$32.80.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 300 times β having a profit of $573.00;
- And would lose other 700 times β losing -$700.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$127.00.
Is betting on Cerro Largo worth it?
π΄ Cerro Largo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 310 times β having a profit of $573.50;
- And would have lost other 690 times β with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$116.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Boston River x Cerro Largo
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1Γ2: -0.25 Boston River
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1Γ2 market for Boston River x Cerro Largo
β Handicap 1Γ2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Boston River and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Boston River.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1Γ2 is on: 0.0 Boston River.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boston River x Cerro Largo
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.