Boston River x Liverpool Montevideo Betting tips for March 29 in Uruguay Apertura

Our betting tip for Boston River x Liverpool Montevideo, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025 22:15

Boston River 2.89

X 3.10

Liverpool Montevideo 2.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Boston River x Liverpool Montevideo:

🔮 Liverpool Montevideo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool Montevideo, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Boston River x Liverpool Montevideo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Boston River in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $630.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Liverpool Montevideo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Liverpool Montevideo, Boston River scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Boston River conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Liverpool Montevideo. 👉 In the last 8 road matches, Liverpool Montevideo has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Boston River x Liverpool Montevideo for the Uruguay Apertura – 29 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Boston River x Liverpool Montevideo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1291138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Boston River x Liverpool Montevideo

Is betting on Boston River worth it?

🔵 Boston River: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $415.80;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$364.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Liverpool Montevideo?

🔴 Liverpool Montevideo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $689.00
• And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$219.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Boston River x Liverpool Montevideo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Boston River
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boston River x Liverpool Montevideo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Boston River, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Boston River.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Liverpool Montevideo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boston River x Liverpool Montevideo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.