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Home Β» Predictions Β» Boston River x Racing Club de Montevideo Betting tips for November 27 in Uruguay Clausura
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 22h00 Uruguay Clausura
Boston River Boston River
PREDICTION No tip
Racing Club de Montevideo Racing Club de Montevideo
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Boston River x Racing Club de Montevideo Betting tips for November 27 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Boston River x Racing Club de Montevideo, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
πŸ“… 27/11/2024
22:00
Boston River Boston River
2.30
X
3.00
Racing Club de Montevideo Racing Club de Montevideo
3.02

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Boston River x Racing Club de Montevideo:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Boston River x Racing Club de Montevideo

Some important points for the tip for Boston River x Racing Club de Montevideo:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Boston River in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $308.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Racing Club de Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-45.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Racing Club de Montevideo, Boston River scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Racing Club de Montevideo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Boston River has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Racing Club de Montevideo.

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Summary

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Analysis from Boston River x Racing Club de Montevideo for the Uruguay Clausura – 27 of November

🏟️ Boston River X Racing Club de Montevideo – Uruguay Clausura
πŸ“… 27 of November, 2024 – 22:00
πŸ”΅ Boston River – Winning probability: 38.79% | Fair line: 2.58
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.59% | Fair line: 3.07
πŸ”΄ Racing Club de Montevideo – Winning probability: 28.62% | Fair line: 3.49
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Boston River
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Boston River x Racing Club de Montevideo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1227805 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Boston River x Racing Club de Montevideo

Should you bet on Boston River?

πŸ”΅ Boston River: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $507.00;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$103.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$10.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on Racing Club de Montevideo worth it?

πŸ”΄ Racing Club de Montevideo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $585.80
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$124.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Boston River x Racing Club de Montevideo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Boston River
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boston River x Racing Club de Montevideo

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Boston River, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Boston River.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Racing Club de Montevideo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boston River x Racing Club de Montevideo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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