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Home » Predictions » Others » Botafogo x Fluminense Betting tips for January 30 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Thursday, 30 January 2025, 00h30 Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Botafogo Botafogo
PREDICTION Fluminense Wins Probability 39% 1 X 2
Fluminense Fluminense
ODD: @2.87 Don't miss this prediction!

Botafogo x Fluminense Betting tips for January 30 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Botafogo x Fluminense, Thursday, 30/1/2025
📅 30/1/2025
00:30
Botafogo Botafogo
2.39
X
3.00
Fluminense Fluminense
2.87

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Botafogo x Fluminense:

🔮 Fluminense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fluminense, you can win up to $1435.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Botafogo x Fluminense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-139.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $436.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Botafogo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Botafogo x Fluminense, with Botafogo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Botafogo x Fluminense?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Botafogo x Fluminense:

Analysis from Botafogo x Fluminense for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 30 of January

🏟️ Botafogo X Fluminense – Brazil Campeonato Carioca
📅 30 of January, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Botafogo – Winning probability: 32.02% | Fair line: 3.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.90% | Fair line: 3.46
🔴 Fluminense – Winning probability: 39.08% | Fair line: 2.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Botafogo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Botafogo x Fluminense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1253922 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Botafogo x Fluminense

Is betting on Botafogo worth it?

🔵 Botafogo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.39. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $444.80
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$235.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $580.00;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Is it worth betting on Fluminense?

🔴 Fluminense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $729.30
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$119.30.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo x Fluminense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Botafogo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo x Fluminense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Botafogo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Botafogo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Fluminense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo x Fluminense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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