Botafogo x Portuguesa RJ Betting tips for January 14 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
| 📅 14/1/2025 23:00 |
 Botafogo2.00 |
X 3.25 |
Portuguesa RJ  3.40 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Botafogo x Portuguesa RJ:
🔮 Botafogo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Botafogo, you can win up to $1000.00!
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The main points for the tip for Botafogo x Portuguesa RJ: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-370.0. |
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Analysis from Botafogo x Portuguesa RJ for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 14 of January
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🏟️ Botafogo X Portuguesa RJ – Brazil Campeonato Carioca |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Botafogo and Portuguesa RJ.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246713 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Botafogo x Portuguesa RJ
Is it worth betting on Botafogo?
🔵 Botafogo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $750.00;
- And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$500.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $225.00
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$675.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Portuguesa RJ?
🔴 Portuguesa RJ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $360.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$490.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo x Portuguesa RJ
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Botafogo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo x Portuguesa RJ
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Botafogo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Botafogo.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Botafogo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo x Portuguesa RJ
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
