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Home » Predictions » Others » Botafogo SP x Avai Betting tips for November 19 in Brazil Serie B
Tuesday, 19 November 2024, 00h00 Brazil Serie B
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
PREDICTION Botafogo SP wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Avai Avai
ODD: @1.96 Don't miss this prediction!

Botafogo SP x Avai Betting tips for November 19 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Botafogo SP x Avai, Tuesday, 19/11/2024
📅 19/11/2024
00:00
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
1.96
X
3.05
Avai Avai
3.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Botafogo SP x Avai:

🔮 Botafogo SP wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Botafogo SP, you can win up to $980.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Botafogo SP x Avai:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo SP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Avai in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Avai conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Avai as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Botafogo SP x Avai?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Botafogo SP x Avai, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Botafogo SP x Avai for the Brazil Serie B – 19 of November

🏟️ Botafogo SP X Avai – Brazil Serie B
📅 19 of November, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Botafogo SP – Winning probability: 50.50% | Fair line: 1.98
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.37% | Fair line: 3.65
🔴 Avai – Winning probability: 22.13% | Fair line: 4.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Botafogo SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Botafogo SP and Avai.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1222248 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Botafogo SP x Avai

Is it a good idea to bet on Botafogo SP?

🔵 Botafogo SP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$20.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $553.50
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$176.50.

Is it worth betting on Avai?

🔴 Avai: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $638.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$142.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo SP x Avai

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Botafogo SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo SP x Avai

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Botafogo SP and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Botafogo SP.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Avai.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo SP x Avai

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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