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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Botafogo SP x EC Agua Santa Betting tips for January 30 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Thursday, 30 January 2025, 00h30 Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
PREDICTION Botafogo SP wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
EC Agua Santa EC Agua Santa
ODD: @1.87 Don't miss this prediction!

Botafogo SP x EC Agua Santa Betting tips for January 30 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Botafogo SP x EC Agua Santa, Thursday, 30/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 30/1/2025
00:30
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
1.87
X
3.25
EC Agua Santa EC Agua Santa
3.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Botafogo SP x EC Agua Santa:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Botafogo SP wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Botafogo SP, you can win up to $935.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Botafogo SP x EC Agua Santa:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Botafogo SP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on EC Agua Santa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 EC Agua Santa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ EC Agua Santa received red cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, EC Agua Santa conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for EC Agua Santa as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Botafogo SP x EC Agua Santa for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista โ€“ 30 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Botafogo SP X EC Agua Santa โ€“ Brazil Campeonato Paulista
๐Ÿ“… 30 of January, 2025 โ€“ 00:30
๐Ÿ”ต Botafogo SP โ€“ Winning probability: 55.14% | Fair line: 1.81
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 22.20% | Fair line: 4.5
๐Ÿ”ด EC Agua Santa โ€“ Winning probability: 22.66% | Fair line: 4.41
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -0.5 Botafogo SP
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Botafogo SP x EC Agua Santa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1253922 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Botafogo SP x EC Agua Santa

Is betting on Botafogo SP worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Botafogo SP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 550 times โ€“ profiting $478.50;
  • And would lose other 450 times โ€“ losing -$450.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$28.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times โ€“ having a profit of $495.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times โ€“ with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$285.00.

Is betting on EC Agua Santa worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด EC Agua Santa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $644.00
  • And would lose other 770 times โ€“ losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$126.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo SP x EC Agua Santa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -0.5 Botafogo SP
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Botafogo SP x EC Agua Santa

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Botafogo SP and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Botafogo SP.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1ร—2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo SP x EC Agua Santa

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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