Botafogo SP x Ituano Betting tips for October 23 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Botafogo SP x Ituano, Wednesday, 23/10/2024

📅 23/10/2024 23:00

Botafogo SP 2.04

X 3.10

Ituano 3.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Botafogo SP x Ituano:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Botafogo SP x Ituano

Important information for your tip for Botafogo SP x Ituano: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ituano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0. 👉 Ituano did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 Ituano matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Ituano conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Botafogo SP conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Ituano. 👉 It is not a good time for Ituano as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches. 👉 Even as a visitor, Ituano won the last 3 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP´s territory

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Botafogo SP x Ituano?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Botafogo SP x Ituano for the Brazil Serie B – 23 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Botafogo SP x Ituano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207665 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Botafogo SP x Ituano

Is it a good idea to bet on Botafogo SP?

🔵 Botafogo SP: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 470 times – profiting $488.80;
• And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$41.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $651.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$39.00.

Should you bet on Ituano?

🔴 Ituano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$202.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo SP x Ituano

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Botafogo SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo SP x Ituano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Botafogo SP and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Botafogo SP.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Ituano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo SP x Ituano

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.