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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Botafogo SP x Londrina Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Brazil Serie B
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
PREDICTION No tip
Londrina Londrina
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Botafogo SP x Londrina Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Botafogo SP x Londrina, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
20:00
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
1.84
X
3.25
Londrina Londrina
4.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Botafogo SP x Londrina:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Botafogo SP x Londrina

The main points for the tip for Botafogo SP x Londrina:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Botafogo SP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Londrina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Londrina conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Botafogo SP x Londrina

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2023. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Botafogo SP x Londrina for the Brazil Serie B – 25 of November

🏟️ Botafogo SP X Londrina – Brazil Serie B
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 20:00
πŸ”΅ Botafogo SP – Winning probability: 58.99% | Fair line: 1.7
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.74% | Fair line: 4.04
πŸ”΄ Londrina – Winning probability: 16.27% | Fair line: 6.15
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Botafogo SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Botafogo SP x Londrina right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Botafogo SP x Londrina

Is it worth betting on Botafogo SP?

πŸ”΅ Botafogo SP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $495.60;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$85.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $562.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$187.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Londrina?

πŸ”΄ Londrina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$312.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo SP x Londrina

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Botafogo SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo SP x Londrina

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Botafogo SP and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Botafogo SP.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo SP x Londrina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves