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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Botafogo SP x Sao Bernardo SP Betting tips for January 26 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Sunday, 26 January 2025, 21h30 Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
PREDICTION No tip
Sao Bernardo SP Sao Bernardo SP
Don't miss this prediction!

Botafogo SP x Sao Bernardo SP Betting tips for January 26 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Botafogo SP x Sao Bernardo SP, Sunday, 26/1/2025
πŸ“… 26/1/2025
21:30
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
2.25
X
3.00
Sao Bernardo SP Sao Bernardo SP
3.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Botafogo SP x Sao Bernardo SP:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Botafogo SP x Sao Bernardo SP

Important information for your tip for Botafogo SP x Sao Bernardo SP:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Botafogo SP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sao Bernardo SP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Botafogo SP x Sao Bernardo SP?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Botafogo SP x Sao Bernardo SP, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Botafogo SP x Sao Bernardo SP for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 26 of January

🏟️ Botafogo SP X Sao Bernardo SP – Brazil Campeonato Paulista
πŸ“… 26 of January, 2025 – 21:30
πŸ”΅ Botafogo SP – Winning probability: 43.45% | Fair line: 2.3
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.72% | Fair line: 4.22
πŸ”΄ Sao Bernardo SP – Winning probability: 32.83% | Fair line: 3.05
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: 0.0 Botafogo SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Botafogo SP x Sao Bernardo SP is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1251921 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Botafogo SP x Sao Bernardo SP

Is betting on Botafogo SP worth it?

πŸ”΅ Botafogo SP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – profiting $537.50;
  • And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$32.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$280.00.

Is betting on Sao Bernardo SP worth it?

πŸ”΄ Sao Bernardo SP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $693.00;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$23.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo SP x Sao Bernardo SP

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: 0.0 Botafogo SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Botafogo SP x Sao Bernardo SP

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Botafogo SP and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Botafogo SP.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: 0.25 Sao Bernardo SP.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo SP x Sao Bernardo SP

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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