Boulogne x Valenciennes Betting tips for November 1 in France National

Our betting tip for Boulogne x Valenciennes, Friday, 1/11/2024

📅 1/11/2024 18:30

Boulogne 2.18

X 3.20

Valenciennes 3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Boulogne x Valenciennes:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Boulogne x Valenciennes

The main points for the tip for Boulogne x Valenciennes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Boulogne in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $260.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Valenciennes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Boulogne scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Valenciennes conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Boulogne x Valenciennes?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Boulogne x Valenciennes for the France National – 1 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Boulogne x Valenciennes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213551 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Boulogne x Valenciennes

Is it worth betting on Boulogne?

🔵 Boulogne: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 380 times – profiting $448.40;
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$171.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Valenciennes?

🔴 Valenciennes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $660.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$10.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Boulogne x Valenciennes

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Boulogne
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boulogne x Valenciennes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Boulogne, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Boulogne.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Valenciennes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boulogne x Valenciennes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.