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Home » Predictions » Others » Boyaca Chico x La Equidad Betting tips for October 29 in Colombia Primera A
Tuesday, 29 October 2024, 21h00 Colombia Primera A
Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
La Equidad La Equidad
ODD: @2.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Boyaca Chico x La Equidad Betting tips for October 29 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Boyaca Chico x La Equidad, Tuesday, 29/10/2024
📅 29/10/2024
21:00
Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico
2.72
X
2.85
La Equidad La Equidad
2.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Boyaca Chico x La Equidad:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Boyaca Chico x La Equidad:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Boyaca Chico in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $105.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on La Equidad in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 La Equidad matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Boyaca Chico conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against La Equidad.

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Summary

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Analysis from Boyaca Chico x La Equidad for the Colombia Primera A – 29 of October

🏟️ Boyaca Chico X La Equidad – Colombia Primera A
📅 29 of October, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Boyaca Chico – Winning probability: 27.80% | Fair line: 3.6
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.69% | Fair line: 2.52
🔴 La Equidad – Winning probability: 32.51% | Fair line: 3.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Boyaca Chico
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Boyaca Chico x La Equidad right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212709 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Boyaca Chico x La Equidad

Should you bet on Boyaca Chico?

🔵 Boyaca Chico: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $481.60;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$238.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $740.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$140.00.

Should you bet on La Equidad?

🔴 La Equidad: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $561.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$109.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Boyaca Chico x La Equidad

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Boyaca Chico
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boyaca Chico x La Equidad

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Boyaca Chico, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Boyaca Chico.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Boyaca Chico.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boyaca Chico x La Equidad

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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