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Home » Predictions » Others » Boyaca Chico x Millonarios Betting tips for November 15 in Colombia Primera A
Friday, 15 November 2024, 00h00 Colombia Primera A
Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico
PREDICTION Millonarios Wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Millonarios Millonarios
ODD: @1.87 Don't miss this prediction!

Boyaca Chico x Millonarios Betting tips for November 15 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Boyaca Chico x Millonarios, Friday, 15/11/2024
📅 15/11/2024
00:00
Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico
4.38
X
3.20
Millonarios Millonarios
1.87

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Boyaca Chico x Millonarios:

🔮 Millonarios wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Millonarios, you can win up to $935.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Boyaca Chico x Millonarios:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Boyaca Chico in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Millonarios in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $33.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Boyaca Chico scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Boyaca Chico conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Millonarios.

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Boyaca Chico x Millonarios for the Colombia Primera A – 15 of November

🏟️ Boyaca Chico X Millonarios – Colombia Primera A
📅 15 of November, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Boyaca Chico – Winning probability: 11.86% | Fair line: 8.43
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.00% | Fair line: 6.67
🔴 Millonarios – Winning probability: 73.14% | Fair line: 1.37
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Boyaca Chico
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Boyaca Chico x Millonarios right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1221437 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Boyaca Chico x Millonarios

Is betting on Boyaca Chico worth it?

🔵 Boyaca Chico: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $405.60;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$474.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $330.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.

Is betting on Millonarios worth it?

🔴 Millonarios: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 730 times – having a profit of $635.10;
  • And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$365.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Boyaca Chico x Millonarios

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Boyaca Chico
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boyaca Chico x Millonarios

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Boyaca Chico, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Boyaca Chico.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boyaca Chico x Millonarios

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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