Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino Betting tips for January 31 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
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31/1/2025 22:30 |
![]() 1.95 |
X 3.12 |
Gremio Novorizontino ![]() 3.58 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino:
๐ฎ Bragantino wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bragantino, you can win up to $975.00!
Important information for your tip for Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Bragantino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-226.0. |
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Analysis from Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista โ 31 of January
๐๏ธ Bragantino X Gremio Novorizontino โ Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
When the best bet on Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1254556 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino
Is it worth betting on Bragantino?
๐ต Bragantino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 650 times โ having a profit of $617.50;
- And would have lost other 350 times โ with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$267.50.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 230 times โ having a profit of $487.60;
- And would lose other 770 times โ losing -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$282.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Gremio Novorizontino?
๐ด Gremio Novorizontino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times โ this would give you a profit of $335.40
- And would lose other 870 times โ having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$534.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1ร2: -0.25 Bragantino
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1ร2 market for Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino
โ Handicap 1ร2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Bragantino, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Bragantino.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1ร2 is on: 0.5 Gremio Novorizontino.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.