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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino Betting tips for January 31 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Friday, 31 January 2025, 22h30 Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Bragantino Bragantino
PREDICTION Bragantino wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Gremio Novorizontino Gremio Novorizontino
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino Betting tips for January 31 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino, Friday, 31/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 31/1/2025
22:30
Bragantino Bragantino
1.95
X
3.12
Gremio Novorizontino Gremio Novorizontino
3.58

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bragantino wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bragantino, you can win up to $975.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bragantino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-226.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gremio Novorizontino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $582.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Bragantino scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Gremio Novorizontino conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista โ€“ 31 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Bragantino X Gremio Novorizontino โ€“ Brazil Campeonato Paulista
๐Ÿ“… 31 of January, 2025 โ€“ 22:30
๐Ÿ”ต Bragantino โ€“ Winning probability: 64.74% | Fair line: 1.54
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 22.52% | Fair line: 4.44
๐Ÿ”ด Gremio Novorizontino โ€“ Winning probability: 12.74% | Fair line: 7.85
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -0.25 Bragantino
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1254556 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino

Is it worth betting on Bragantino?

๐Ÿ”ต Bragantino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 650 times โ€“ having a profit of $617.50;
  • And would have lost other 350 times โ€“ with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$267.50.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times โ€“ having a profit of $487.60;
  • And would lose other 770 times โ€“ losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$282.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gremio Novorizontino?

๐Ÿ”ด Gremio Novorizontino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $335.40
  • And would lose other 870 times โ€“ having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$534.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -0.25 Bragantino
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Bragantino, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Bragantino.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: 0.5 Gremio Novorizontino.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bragantino x Gremio Novorizontino

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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