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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Brea x Real Sociedad C Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Brea Brea
PREDICTION Real Sociedad C Wins Probability 39% 1 X 2
Real Sociedad C Real Sociedad C
ODD: @2.6 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Brea x Real Sociedad C Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Brea x Real Sociedad C, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
17:00
Brea Brea
2.56
X
2.93
Real Sociedad C Real Sociedad C
2.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Brea x Real Sociedad C:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Real Sociedad C wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Sociedad C, you can win up to $1300.00!

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The main points for the tip for Brea x Real Sociedad C:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Brea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Sociedad C in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $405.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Real Sociedad C scored at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Brea x Real Sociedad C

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Summary

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Analysis from Brea x Real Sociedad C for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Brea X Real Sociedad C – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 17:00
๐Ÿ”ต Brea – Winning probability: 29.98% | Fair line: 3.34
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.30% | Fair line: 3.3
๐Ÿ”ด Real Sociedad C – Winning probability: 39.72% | Fair line: 2.52
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Brea
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brea x Real Sociedad C right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brea x Real Sociedad C

Is it worth betting on Brea?

๐Ÿ”ต Brea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $468.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$232.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $579.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$121.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Sociedad C?

๐Ÿ”ด Real Sociedad C: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $640.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$40.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Brea x Real Sociedad C

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Brea
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brea x Real Sociedad C

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Brea, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Brea.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Real Sociedad C.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brea x Real Sociedad C

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves