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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Breitenrain x Basel II Betting tips for November 25 in Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion
Breitenrain Breitenrain
PREDICTION No tip
Basel II Basel II
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Breitenrain x Basel II Betting tips for November 25 in Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

Our betting tip for Breitenrain x Basel II, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
14:00
Breitenrain Breitenrain
1.93
X
3.70
Basel II Basel II
3.09

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Breitenrain x Basel II:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Breitenrain x Basel II

Some important points for the tip for Breitenrain x Basel II:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Breitenrain in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $295.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Basel II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Breitenrain scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Basel II, Breitenrain scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Breitenrain x Basel II, with Breitenrain as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Breitenrain conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Basel II conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Breitenrain conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Basel II.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Basel II as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Breitenrain x Basel II

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Breitenrain x Basel II?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Breitenrain x Basel II:

Analysis from Breitenrain x Basel II for the Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion – 25 of November

🏟️ Breitenrain X Basel II – Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ Breitenrain – Winning probability: 47.48% | Fair line: 2.11
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.18% | Fair line: 3.55
πŸ”΄ Basel II – Winning probability: 24.34% | Fair line: 4.11
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Breitenrain
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Breitenrain x Basel II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Breitenrain x Basel II

Should you bet on Breitenrain?

πŸ”΅ Breitenrain: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $437.10;
  • And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$92.90.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $756.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$36.00.

Should you bet on Basel II?

πŸ”΄ Basel II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $501.60;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$258.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Breitenrain x Basel II

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Breitenrain
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Breitenrain x Basel II

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Breitenrain and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Breitenrain.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Breitenrain.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Breitenrain x Basel II

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves