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Home » Predictions » Others » Brescia x Bari Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie B
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie B
Brescia Brescia
PREDICTION Brescia wins Probability 42% 1 X 2
Bari Bari
ODD: @2.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Brescia x Bari Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Brescia x Bari, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
14:00
Brescia Brescia
2.65
X
3.10
Bari Bari
2.64

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Brescia x Bari:

🔮 Brescia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brescia, you can win up to $1325.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Brescia x Bari:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brescia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $90.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Brescia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Bari matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Brescia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Brescia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Bari.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Bari has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Brescia x Bari for the Italy Serie B – 30 of November

🏟️ Brescia X Bari – Italy Serie B
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Brescia – Winning probability: 42.50% | Fair line: 2.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.62% | Fair line: 3.62
🔴 Bari – Winning probability: 29.88% | Fair line: 3.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Brescia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Brescia x Bari is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brescia x Bari

Should you bet on Brescia?

🔵 Brescia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – profiting $709.50;
  • And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$139.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $588.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bari?

🔴 Bari: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $492.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Brescia x Bari

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Brescia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brescia x Bari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Brescia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Brescia. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brescia x Bari

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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