Brisbane Roar NPL x Moreton City Excelsior Betting tips for March 22 in Australia NPL Queensland

Our betting tip for Brisbane Roar NPL x Moreton City Excelsior, Saturday, 22/3/2025

📅 22/3/2025
05:00

Brisbane Roar NPL
6.62

X
5.88

Moreton City Excelsior

1.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Brisbane Roar NPL x Moreton City Excelsior:

🔮 Moreton City Excelsior wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Moreton City Excelsior, you can win up to $650.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com

Some important points for the tip for Brisbane Roar NPL x Moreton City Excelsior:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brisbane Roar NPL in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreton City Excelsior in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $487.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Moreton City Excelsior scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Brisbane Roar NPL matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 Moreton City Excelsior matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Moreton City Excelsior conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Moreton City Excelsior is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 6 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Summary

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Analysis from Brisbane Roar NPL x Moreton City Excelsior for the Australia NPL Queensland – 22 of March

🏟️ Brisbane Roar NPL X Moreton City Excelsior – Australia NPL Queensland
📅 22 of March, 2025 – 05:00
🔵 Brisbane Roar NPL – Winning probability: 6.81% | Fair line: 14.69
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.46% | Fair line: 18.31
🔴 Moreton City Excelsior – Winning probability: 87.73% | Fair line: 1.14
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Brisbane Roar NPL
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Brisbane Roar NPL x Moreton City Excelsior is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1285513 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brisbane Roar NPL x Moreton City Excelsior

Is betting on Brisbane Roar NPL worth it?

🔵 Brisbane Roar NPL: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $393.40;
And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$536.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $244.00
And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$706.00.

Is it worth betting on Moreton City Excelsior?

🔴 Moreton City Excelsior: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 880 times – having a profit of $264.00;
And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$144.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brisbane Roar NPL x Moreton City Excelsior

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Brisbane Roar NPL
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brisbane Roar NPL x Moreton City Excelsior

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Brisbane Roar NPL and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +2.0 Brisbane Roar NPL.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +2.0 Brisbane Roar NPL.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brisbane Roar NPL x Moreton City Excelsior

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 4.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.00 goals.