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Home » Predictions » Others » Briton Ferry x Haverfordwest County Betting tips for October 15 in Wales Premier League
Tuesday, 15 October 2024, 18h45 Wales Premier League
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
PREDICTION Briton Ferry wins Probability 34% 1 X 2
Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County
ODD: @7.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Briton Ferry x Haverfordwest County Betting tips for October 15 in Wales Premier League

Our betting tip for Briton Ferry x Haverfordwest County, Tuesday, 15/10/2024
📅 15/10/2024
18:45
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
7.50
X
4.40
Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County
1.36

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Briton Ferry x Haverfordwest County:

🔮 Briton Ferry wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Briton Ferry, you can win up to $3750.00!

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Important information for your tip for Briton Ferry x Haverfordwest County:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Briton Ferry in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Haverfordwest County in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-124.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Briton Ferry scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Briton Ferry x Haverfordwest County, with Briton Ferry as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Briton Ferry conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Briton Ferry conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Haverfordwest County.

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Summary

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Analysis from Briton Ferry x Haverfordwest County for the Wales Premier League – 15 of October

🏟️ Briton Ferry X Haverfordwest County – Wales Premier League
📅 15 of October, 2024 – 18:45
🔵 Briton Ferry – Winning probability: 34.96% | Fair line: 2.86
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.61% | Fair line: 17.83
🔴 Haverfordwest County – Winning probability: 59.43% | Fair line: 1.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Briton Ferry
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Briton Ferry x Haverfordwest County right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1201265 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Briton Ferry x Haverfordwest County

Is it worth betting on Briton Ferry?

🔵 Briton Ferry: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $2275.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$1625.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $204.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$736.00.

Is it worth betting on Haverfordwest County?

🔴 Haverfordwest County: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $212.40
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$197.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Briton Ferry x Haverfordwest County

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Briton Ferry
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Briton Ferry x Haverfordwest County

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Briton Ferry, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Briton Ferry.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Briton Ferry.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Briton Ferry x Haverfordwest County

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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