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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Bron Radom x Jagiellonia Bialystok II Betting tips for November 24 in Poland III Liga
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Poland III Liga
Bron Radom Bron Radom
PREDICTION No tip
Jagiellonia Bialystok II Jagiellonia Bialystok II
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Bron Radom x Jagiellonia Bialystok II Betting tips for November 24 in Poland III Liga

Our betting tip for Bron Radom x Jagiellonia Bialystok II, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
17:00
Bron Radom Bron Radom
1.96
X
3.55
Jagiellonia Bialystok II Jagiellonia Bialystok II
3.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bron Radom x Jagiellonia Bialystok II:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Bron Radom x Jagiellonia Bialystok II

Important information for your tip for Bron Radom x Jagiellonia Bialystok II:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bron Radom in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $108.0.
πŸ‘‰ Bron Radom did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bron Radom scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Bron Radom conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Jagiellonia Bialystok II.
πŸ‘‰ Bron Radom is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Bron Radom x Jagiellonia Bialystok II

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Summary

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Analysis from Bron Radom x Jagiellonia Bialystok II for the Poland III Liga – 24 of November

🏟️ Bron Radom X Jagiellonia Bialystok II – Poland III Liga
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 17:00
πŸ”΅ Bron Radom – Winning probability: 41.07% | Fair line: 2.44
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.85% | Fair line: 3.47
πŸ”΄ Jagiellonia Bialystok II – Winning probability: 30.08% | Fair line: 3.32
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bron Radom
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bron Radom x Jagiellonia Bialystok II is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bron Radom x Jagiellonia Bialystok II

Should you bet on Bron Radom?

πŸ”΅ Bron Radom: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.96. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $393.60
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$196.40.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $739.50;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$29.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Jagiellonia Bialystok II worth it?

πŸ”΄ Jagiellonia Bialystok II: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bron Radom x Jagiellonia Bialystok II

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bron Radom
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bron Radom x Jagiellonia Bialystok II

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Bron Radom and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Bron Radom. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bron Radom x Jagiellonia Bialystok II

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves