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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Brothers Union x Bangladesh Police Club Betting tips for November 29 in Bangladesh Premier League
Friday, 29 November 2024, 08h30 Bangladesh Premier League
Brothers Union Brothers Union
PREDICTION No tip
Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Police Club
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Brothers Union x Bangladesh Police Club Betting tips for November 29 in Bangladesh Premier League

Our betting tip for Brothers Union x Bangladesh Police Club, Friday, 29/11/2024
πŸ“… 29/11/2024
08:30
Brothers Union Brothers Union
3.56
X
3.50
Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Police Club
1.85

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Brothers Union x Bangladesh Police Club:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Brothers Union x Bangladesh Police Club

Some important points for the tip for Brothers Union x Bangladesh Police Club:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Brothers Union in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bangladesh Police Club in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bangladesh Police Club scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Bangladesh Police Club, Brothers Union scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Brothers Union conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bangladesh Police Club conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Brothers Union conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Bangladesh Police Club.

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Summary

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Analysis from Brothers Union x Bangladesh Police Club for the Bangladesh Premier League – 29 of November

🏟️ Brothers Union X Bangladesh Police Club – Bangladesh Premier League
πŸ“… 29 of November, 2024 – 08:30
πŸ”΅ Brothers Union – Winning probability: 38.97% | Fair line: 2.57
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.57% | Fair line: 4.64
πŸ”΄ Bangladesh Police Club – Winning probability: 39.46% | Fair line: 2.53
βš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Brothers Union
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brothers Union x Bangladesh Police Club right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229376 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brothers Union x Bangladesh Police Club

Is it a good idea to bet on Brothers Union?

πŸ”΅ Brothers Union: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $998.40;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$388.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$230.00.

Is it worth betting on Bangladesh Police Club?

πŸ”΄ Bangladesh Police Club: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $331.50;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$278.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Brothers Union x Bangladesh Police Club

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Brothers Union
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brothers Union x Bangladesh Police Club

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Brothers Union and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Brothers Union.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Bangladesh Police Club.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brothers Union x Bangladesh Police Club

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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