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Home » Predictions » Others » Buriram United x Ratchaburi FC Betting tips for December 8 in Thailand Premier League
Sunday, 08 December 2024, 11h00 Thailand Premier League
Buriram United Buriram United
PREDICTION Buriram United wins Probability 92% 1 X 2
Ratchaburi FC Ratchaburi FC
ODD: @1.27 Don't miss this prediction!

Buriram United x Ratchaburi FC Betting tips for December 8 in Thailand Premier League

Our betting tip for Buriram United x Ratchaburi FC, Sunday, 8/12/2024
📅 8/12/2024
11:00
Buriram United Buriram United
1.27
X
5.20
Ratchaburi FC Ratchaburi FC
8.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Buriram United x Ratchaburi FC:

🔮 Buriram United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Buriram United, you can win up to $635.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Buriram United x Ratchaburi FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Buriram United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $74.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ratchaburi FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Buriram United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Ratchaburi FC scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Buriram United matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Ratchaburi FC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Ratchaburi FC conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Buriram United has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Ratchaburi FC playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Buriram United x Ratchaburi FC for the Thailand Premier League – 8 of December

🏟️ Buriram United X Ratchaburi FC – Thailand Premier League
📅 8 of December, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Buriram United – Winning probability: 92.42% | Fair line: 1.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.11% | Fair line: 16.37
🔴 Ratchaburi FC – Winning probability: 1.47% | Fair line: 68.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Buriram United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Buriram United x Ratchaburi FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1232417 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Buriram United x Ratchaburi FC

Should you bet on Buriram United?

🔵 Buriram United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 92.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 920 times – this would give you a profit of $248.40
  • And would have lost other 80 times – with a loss of -$80.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$168.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $252.00
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$688.00.

Is betting on Ratchaburi FC worth it?

🔴 Ratchaburi FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $75.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$915.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Buriram United x Ratchaburi FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Buriram United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Buriram United x Ratchaburi FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Buriram United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Buriram United.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Buriram United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Buriram United x Ratchaburi FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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