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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Burnley x Coventry Betting tips for November 26 in England Championship
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 19h45 England Championship
Burnley Burnley
PREDICTION No tip
Coventry Coventry
Don't miss this prediction!

Burnley x Coventry Betting tips for November 26 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Burnley x Coventry, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
πŸ“… 26/11/2024
19:45
Burnley Burnley
2.12
X
3.32
Coventry Coventry
3.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Burnley x Coventry:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Burnley x Coventry

Important information for your tip for Burnley x Coventry:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Burnley in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-23.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Coventry in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
πŸ‘‰ Burnley did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Coventry scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Burnley matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Coventry has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Burnley x Coventry?

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Analysis from Burnley x Coventry for the England Championship – 26 of November

🏟️ Burnley X Coventry – England Championship
πŸ“… 26 of November, 2024 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Burnley – Winning probability: 39.40% | Fair line: 2.54
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.91% | Fair line: 3.34
πŸ”΄ Coventry – Winning probability: 30.69% | Fair line: 3.26
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Burnley
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Burnley x Coventry right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1227868 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Burnley x Coventry

Should you bet on Burnley?

πŸ”΅ Burnley: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $436.80;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$173.20.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $696.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$4.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Coventry?

πŸ”΄ Coventry: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $713.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$23.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Burnley x Coventry

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Burnley
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Burnley x Coventry

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Burnley and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Burnley.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Burnley x Coventry

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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