Busoga United FC x KCCA Betting tips for November 24 in Uganda Premier League

Our betting tip for Busoga United FC x KCCA, Friday, 24/11/2023

📅 24/11/2023 13:00

Busoga United FC 3.02

X 3.32

KCCA 2.12

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Busoga United FC x KCCA:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Busoga United FC x KCCA

The main points for the tip for Busoga United FC x KCCA: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Busoga United FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on KCCA in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0. 👉 Busoga United FC did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 Busoga United FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, KCCA conceded at least 1 goal(s).

📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Busoga United FC x KCCA

Looking for another bookie to bet on Busoga United FC x KCCA?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Busoga United FC x KCCA:

Analysis from Busoga United FC x KCCA for the Uganda Premier League – 24 of November

When the best bet on Busoga United FC x KCCA is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Busoga United FC x KCCA

Should you bet on Busoga United FC?

🔵 Busoga United FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $424.20
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$365.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $626.40;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$103.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on KCCA?

🔴 KCCA: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $582.40
• And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$102.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Busoga United FC x KCCA

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Busoga United FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Busoga United FC x KCCA

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Busoga United FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Busoga United FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 KCCA.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Busoga United FC x KCCA

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.