CA Alvarado x Almagro Betting tips for March 16 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for CA Alvarado x Almagro, Sunday, 16/3/2025

📅 16/3/2025 20:00

CA Alvarado 1.94

X 2.88

Almagro 4.24

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CA Alvarado x Almagro:

🔮 CA Alvarado wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CA Alvarado, you can win up to $970.00!

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The main points for the tip for CA Alvarado x Almagro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Alvarado in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Almagro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 CA Alvarado did not score any goals in the last 6 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Almagro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 CA Alvarado matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Almagro matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Almagro conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Almagro as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from CA Alvarado x Almagro for the Argentina Nacional B – 16 of March

When the best bet on CA Alvarado x Almagro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281931 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CA Alvarado x Almagro

Is it a good idea to bet on CA Alvarado?

🔵 CA Alvarado: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $517.00;
• And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$67.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $564.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is betting on Almagro worth it?

🔴 Almagro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $486.00;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$364.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match CA Alvarado x Almagro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CA Alvarado
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Alvarado x Almagro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 CA Alvarado, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 CA Alvarado.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Almagro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Alvarado x Almagro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.