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Home » Predictions » Others » CA Colegiales x Fenix Betting tips for September 20 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Friday, 20 September 2024, 21h10 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
CA Colegiales CA Colegiales
PREDICTION No tip
Fenix Fenix
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CA Colegiales x Fenix Betting tips for September 20 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for CA Colegiales x Fenix, Friday, 20/9/2024
📅 20/9/2024
21:10
CA Colegiales CA Colegiales
1.75
X
3.57
Fenix Fenix
3.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CA Colegiales x Fenix:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CA Colegiales x Fenix

Some important points for the tip for CA Colegiales x Fenix:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Colegiales in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $8.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fenix in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Fenix did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Fenix conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, CA Colegiales conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Fenix.
👉 It is not a good time for Fenix as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
👉 Even as a visitor, Fenix won the last 3 head-to-head matches CA Colegiales´s territory

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on CA Colegiales x Fenix?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on CA Colegiales x Fenix:

Analysis from CA Colegiales x Fenix for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 20 of September

🏟️ CA Colegiales X Fenix – Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
📅 20 of September, 2024 – 21:10
🔵 CA Colegiales – Winning probability: 65.50% | Fair line: 1.53
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.97% | Fair line: 4.55
🔴 Fenix – Winning probability: 12.52% | Fair line: 7.99
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 CA Colegiales
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CA Colegiales and Fenix.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184423 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CA Colegiales x Fenix

Is it a good idea to bet on CA Colegiales?

🔵 CA Colegiales: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
  • And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$155.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $565.40;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$214.60.

Is betting on Fenix worth it?

🔴 Fenix: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $377.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$493.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CA Colegiales x Fenix

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 CA Colegiales
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Colegiales x Fenix

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 CA Colegiales and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 CA Colegiales.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 CA Colegiales.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Colegiales x Fenix

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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