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Home » Predictions » Others » CA Independiente x Atlético Tucumán Betting tips for December 10 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Tuesday, 10 December 2024, 00h30 Argentina Liga Profesional
CA Independiente CA Independiente
PREDICTION CA Independiente wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Atlético Tucumán Atlético Tucumán
ODD: @2.07 Don't miss this prediction!

CA Independiente x Atlético Tucumán Betting tips for December 10 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for CA Independiente x Atlético Tucumán, Tuesday, 10/12/2024
📅 10/12/2024
00:30
CA Independiente CA Independiente
2.07
X
3.10
Atlético Tucumán Atlético Tucumán
3.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CA Independiente x Atlético Tucumán:

🔮 CA Independiente wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CA Independiente, you can win up to $1035.00!

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Some important points for the tip for CA Independiente x Atlético Tucumán:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Independiente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $253.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atlético Tucumán in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 CA Independiente did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, CA Independiente scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Atlético Tucumán matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between CA Independiente x Atlético Tucumán, with CA Independiente as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Atlético Tucumán conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, CA Independiente conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Atlético Tucumán.
👉 CA Independiente is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on CA Independiente x Atlético Tucumán?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CA Independiente x Atlético Tucumán, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CA Independiente x Atlético Tucumán for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 10 of December

🏟️ CA Independiente X Atlético Tucumán – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 10 of December, 2024 – 00:30
🔵 CA Independiente – Winning probability: 59.08% | Fair line: 1.69
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.30% | Fair line: 4.11
🔴 Atlético Tucumán – Winning probability: 16.62% | Fair line: 6.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CA Independiente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CA Independiente and Atlético Tucumán.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1234813 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CA Independiente x Atlético Tucumán

Is it a good idea to bet on CA Independiente?

🔵 CA Independiente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $631.30
  • And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$221.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$256.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atlético Tucumán?

🔴 Atlético Tucumán: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $459.00;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$371.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CA Independiente x Atlético Tucumán

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CA Independiente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Independiente x Atlético Tucumán

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 CA Independiente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 CA Independiente.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 CA Independiente.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Independiente x Atlético Tucumán

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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