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Home » Predictions » Others » CA Independiente de la Chorrera x CD Arabe Unido Betting tips for September 30 in Panama LPF
Monday, 30 September 2024, 22h30 Panama LPF
CA Independiente de la Chorrera CA Independiente de la Chorrera
PREDICTION No tip
CD Arabe Unido CD Arabe Unido
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CA Independiente de la Chorrera x CD Arabe Unido Betting tips for September 30 in Panama LPF

Our betting tip for CA Independiente de la Chorrera x CD Arabe Unido, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
22:30
CA Independiente de la Chorrera CA Independiente de la Chorrera
1.95
X
3.18
CD Arabe Unido CD Arabe Unido
3.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CA Independiente de la Chorrera x CD Arabe Unido:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for CA Independiente de la Chorrera x CD Arabe Unido

The main points for the tip for CA Independiente de la Chorrera x CD Arabe Unido:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Independiente de la Chorrera in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $14.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Arabe Unido in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 CD Arabe Unido did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 8 CD Arabe Unido matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CA Independiente de la Chorrera x CD Arabe Unido?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CA Independiente de la Chorrera x CD Arabe Unido, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CA Independiente de la Chorrera x CD Arabe Unido for the Panama LPF – 30 of September

🏟️ CA Independiente de la Chorrera X CD Arabe Unido – Panama LPF
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 22:30
🔵 CA Independiente de la Chorrera – Winning probability: 47.86% | Fair line: 2.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.72% | Fair line: 3.25
🔴 CD Arabe Unido – Winning probability: 21.41% | Fair line: 4.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on CA Independiente de la Chorrera x CD Arabe Unido is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192575 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CA Independiente de la Chorrera x CD Arabe Unido

Is it a good idea to bet on CA Independiente de la Chorrera?

🔵 CA Independiente de la Chorrera: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $456.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $675.80;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$14.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on CD Arabe Unido worth it?

🔴 CD Arabe Unido: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $525.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$265.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CA Independiente de la Chorrera x CD Arabe Unido

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Independiente de la Chorrera x CD Arabe Unido

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 CA Independiente de la Chorrera and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 CA Independiente de la Chorrera.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 CD Arabe Unido.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Independiente de la Chorrera x CD Arabe Unido

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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