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Home » Predictions » Others » CA Independiente x Gimnasia LP Betting tips for November 21 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Thursday, 21 November 2024, 22h15 Argentina Liga Profesional
CA Independiente CA Independiente
PREDICTION CA Independiente wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Gimnasia LP Gimnasia LP
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

CA Independiente x Gimnasia LP Betting tips for November 21 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for CA Independiente x Gimnasia LP, Thursday, 21/11/2024
📅 21/11/2024
22:15
CA Independiente CA Independiente
1.95
X
3.10
Gimnasia LP Gimnasia LP
4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CA Independiente x Gimnasia LP:

🔮 CA Independiente wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CA Independiente, you can win up to $975.00!

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The main points for the tip for CA Independiente x Gimnasia LP:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Independiente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-117.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gimnasia LP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CA Independiente scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 Gimnasia LP matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between CA Independiente x Gimnasia LP, with CA Independiente as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Gimnasia LP has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on CA Independiente x Gimnasia LP?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CA Independiente x Gimnasia LP, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CA Independiente x Gimnasia LP for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 21 of November

🏟️ CA Independiente X Gimnasia LP – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 21 of November, 2024 – 22:15
🔵 CA Independiente – Winning probability: 62.05% | Fair line: 1.61
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.76% | Fair line: 3.48
🔴 Gimnasia LP – Winning probability: 9.19% | Fair line: 10.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CA Independiente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on CA Independiente x Gimnasia LP is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225495 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CA Independiente x Gimnasia LP

Should you bet on CA Independiente?

🔵 CA Independiente: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $589.00
  • And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$209.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $609.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$101.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gimnasia LP?

🔴 Gimnasia LP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $288.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$622.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match CA Independiente x Gimnasia LP

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CA Independiente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Independiente x Gimnasia LP

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 CA Independiente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 CA Independiente.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 CA Independiente.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Independiente x Gimnasia LP

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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