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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป CA Ouriense Women x SF Damaiense Women Betting tips for November 25 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
CA Ouriense Women CA Ouriense Women
PREDICTION SF Damaiense Women Wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
SF Damaiense Women SF Damaiense Women
ODD: @1.63 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

CA Ouriense Women x SF Damaiense Women Betting tips for November 25 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women

Our betting tip for CA Ouriense Women x SF Damaiense Women, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
CA Ouriense Women CA Ouriense Women
4.20
X
3.95
SF Damaiense Women SF Damaiense Women
1.63

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CA Ouriense Women x SF Damaiense Women:

๐Ÿ”ฎ SF Damaiense Women wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SF Damaiense Women, you can win up to $815.00!

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The main points for the tip for CA Ouriense Women x SF Damaiense Women:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CA Ouriense Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SF Damaiense Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ CA Ouriense Women did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 CA Ouriense Women matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, CA Ouriense Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for CA Ouriense Women as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for CA Ouriense Women x SF Damaiense Women

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Summary

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Analysis from CA Ouriense Women x SF Damaiense Women for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ CA Ouriense Women X SF Damaiense Women – Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต CA Ouriense Women – Winning probability: 6.54% | Fair line: 15.29
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.11% | Fair line: 5.52
๐Ÿ”ด SF Damaiense Women – Winning probability: 75.35% | Fair line: 1.33
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CA Ouriense Women
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CA Ouriense Women and SF Damaiense Women.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CA Ouriense Women x SF Damaiense Women

Is betting on CA Ouriense Women worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต CA Ouriense Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $224.00
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$706.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $531.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$289.00.

Should you bet on SF Damaiense Women?

๐Ÿ”ด SF Damaiense Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $472.50;
  • And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$222.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match CA Ouriense Women x SF Damaiense Women

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CA Ouriense Women
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Ouriense Women x SF Damaiense Women

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 CA Ouriense Women, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 CA Ouriense Women.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Ouriense Women x SF Damaiense Women

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves