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Home » Predictions » Others » CA River Plate x Miramar Misiones Betting tips for November 13 in Uruguay Clausura
Wednesday, 13 November 2024, 12h45 Uruguay Clausura
CA River Plate CA River Plate
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones
ODD: @3.18 Don't miss this prediction!

CA River Plate x Miramar Misiones Betting tips for November 13 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for CA River Plate x Miramar Misiones, Wednesday, 13/11/2024
📅 13/11/2024
12:45
CA River Plate CA River Plate
2.31
X
3.18
Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones
2.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CA River Plate x Miramar Misiones:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for CA River Plate x Miramar Misiones:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CA River Plate in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-262.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Miramar Misiones in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $85.0.
👉 In the last 3 CA River Plate matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, CA River Plate conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from CA River Plate x Miramar Misiones for the Uruguay Clausura – 13 of November

🏟️ CA River Plate X Miramar Misiones – Uruguay Clausura
📅 13 of November, 2024 – 12:45
🔵 CA River Plate – Winning probability: 36.98% | Fair line: 2.7
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.55% | Fair line: 2.81
🔴 Miramar Misiones – Winning probability: 27.47% | Fair line: 3.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CA River Plate
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CA River Plate and Miramar Misiones.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1220960 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CA River Plate x Miramar Misiones

Is it worth betting on CA River Plate?

🔵 CA River Plate: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $484.70;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$145.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $784.80
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$144.80.

Is it worth betting on Miramar Misiones?

🔴 Miramar Misiones: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $486.00
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$244.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CA River Plate x Miramar Misiones

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CA River Plate
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA River Plate x Miramar Misiones

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 CA River Plate and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 CA River Plate.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA River Plate x Miramar Misiones

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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