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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป CA Tigre x Boca Juniors Betting tips for October 19 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 22h15 Argentina Liga Profesional
CA Tigre CA Tigre
PREDICTION Boca Juniors Wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
ODD: @2.35 Don't miss this prediction!

CA Tigre x Boca Juniors Betting tips for October 19 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for CA Tigre x Boca Juniors, Saturday, 19/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/10/2024
22:15
CA Tigre CA Tigre
2.96
X
3.10
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
2.35

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CA Tigre x Boca Juniors:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Boca Juniors wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Boca Juniors, you can win up to $1175.00!

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Important information for your tip for CA Tigre x Boca Juniors:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CA Tigre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $15.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Boca Juniors in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, CA Tigre scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between CA Tigre x Boca Juniors, with CA Tigre as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, CA Tigre conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Boca Juniors conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from CA Tigre x Boca Juniors for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 19 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ CA Tigre X Boca Juniors – Argentina Liga Profesional
๐Ÿ“… 19 of October, 2024 – 22:15
๐Ÿ”ต CA Tigre – Winning probability: 18.97% | Fair line: 5.27
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.39% | Fair line: 3.19
๐Ÿ”ด Boca Juniors – Winning probability: 49.64% | Fair line: 2.01
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CA Tigre
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on CA Tigre x Boca Juniors is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203916 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CA Tigre x Boca Juniors

Is it worth betting on CA Tigre?

๐Ÿ”ต CA Tigre: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $372.40;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$437.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $651.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$39.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Boca Juniors?

๐Ÿ”ด Boca Juniors: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $675.00;
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$175.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CA Tigre x Boca Juniors

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CA Tigre
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Tigre x Boca Juniors

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 CA Tigre and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 CA Tigre.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 CA Tigre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Tigre x Boca Juniors

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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