CA Tigre x Defensa y Justicia Betting tips for November 11 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for CA Tigre x Defensa y Justicia, Monday, 11/11/2024

📅 11/11/2024 21:45

CA Tigre 2.26

X 3.10

Defensa y Justicia 3.22

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CA Tigre x Defensa y Justicia:

🔮 CA Tigre wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CA Tigre, you can win up to $1130.00!

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Some important points for the tip for CA Tigre x Defensa y Justicia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Tigre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $100.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Defensa y Justicia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between CA Tigre x Defensa y Justicia, with CA Tigre as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Defensa y Justicia conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, CA Tigre conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Defensa y Justicia.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on CA Tigre x Defensa y Justicia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CA Tigre x Defensa y Justicia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CA Tigre x Defensa y Justicia for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 11 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CA Tigre x Defensa y Justicia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1220160 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CA Tigre x Defensa y Justicia

Should you bet on CA Tigre?

🔵 CA Tigre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 610 times – profiting $768.60;
• And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$378.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $462.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$318.00.

Is betting on Defensa y Justicia worth it?

🔴 Defensa y Justicia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $377.40;
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$452.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match CA Tigre x Defensa y Justicia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CA Tigre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Tigre x Defensa y Justicia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 CA Tigre and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CA Tigre.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Tigre x Defensa y Justicia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.