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Home » Predictions » Others » CA Tigre x Independiente Rivadavia Betting tips for December 9 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Monday, 09 December 2024, 20h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
CA Tigre CA Tigre
PREDICTION CA Tigre wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
ODD: @2.25 Don't miss this prediction!

CA Tigre x Independiente Rivadavia Betting tips for December 9 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for CA Tigre x Independiente Rivadavia, Monday, 9/12/2024
📅 9/12/2024
20:00
CA Tigre CA Tigre
2.25
X
3.00
Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
3.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CA Tigre x Independiente Rivadavia:

🔮 CA Tigre wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CA Tigre, you can win up to $1125.00!

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Important information for your tip for CA Tigre x Independiente Rivadavia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Tigre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Rivadavia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 CA Tigre did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Independiente Rivadavia scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from CA Tigre x Independiente Rivadavia for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 9 of December

🏟️ CA Tigre X Independiente Rivadavia – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 9 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 CA Tigre – Winning probability: 56.26% | Fair line: 1.78
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.10% | Fair line: 3.44
🔴 Independiente Rivadavia – Winning probability: 14.64% | Fair line: 6.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CA Tigre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on CA Tigre x Independiente Rivadavia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1234126 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CA Tigre x Independiente Rivadavia

Is it worth betting on CA Tigre?

🔵 CA Tigre: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $700.00;
  • And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $580.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$130.00.

Is betting on Independiente Rivadavia worth it?

🔴 Independiente Rivadavia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $375.00
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$475.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CA Tigre x Independiente Rivadavia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CA Tigre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Tigre x Independiente Rivadavia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 CA Tigre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 CA Tigre.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 CA Tigre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Tigre x Independiente Rivadavia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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