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Home » Predictions » Cacereno x Gimnastica Segoviana Betting tips for October 30 in Spain Copa del Rey
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 19h30 Spain Copa del Rey
Cacereno Cacereno
PREDICTION Cacereno wins Probability 42% 1 X 2
Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana
ODD: @2.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Cacereno x Gimnastica Segoviana Betting tips for October 30 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for Cacereno x Gimnastica Segoviana, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
19:30
Cacereno Cacereno
2.50
X
3.12
Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana
2.61

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cacereno x Gimnastica Segoviana:

🔮 Cacereno wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cacereno, you can win up to $1250.00!

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Important information for your tip for Cacereno x Gimnastica Segoviana:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cacereno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $60.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gimnastica Segoviana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Gimnastica Segoviana conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Gimnastica Segoviana as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cacereno x Gimnastica Segoviana for the Spain Copa del Rey – 30 of October

🏟️ Cacereno X Gimnastica Segoviana – Spain Copa del Rey
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Cacereno – Winning probability: 42.11% | Fair line: 2.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.46% | Fair line: 5.73
🔴 Gimnastica Segoviana – Winning probability: 40.43% | Fair line: 2.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cacereno
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cacereno x Gimnastica Segoviana right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cacereno x Gimnastica Segoviana

Should you bet on Cacereno?

🔵 Cacereno: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$50.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $360.40;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$469.60.

Is it worth betting on Gimnastica Segoviana?

🔴 Gimnastica Segoviana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $644.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$44.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cacereno x Gimnastica Segoviana

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cacereno
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cacereno x Gimnastica Segoviana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cacereno and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Cacereno.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Cacereno.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cacereno x Gimnastica Segoviana

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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