Cacereno x Illescas Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
| 📅 30/11/2024 16:30 |
 Cacereno1.73 |
X 3.30 |
Illescas  4.20 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cacereno x Illescas:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!
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Important information for your tip for Cacereno x Illescas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cacereno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. |
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Analysis from Cacereno x Illescas for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 30 of November
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🏟️ Cacereno X Illescas – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
When the best bet on Cacereno x Illescas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Cacereno x Illescas
Is it worth betting on Cacereno?
🔵 Cacereno: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 470 times – profiting $343.10;
- And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$186.90.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $851.00;
- And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$221.00.
Is it worth betting on Illescas?
🔴 Illescas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $512.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cacereno x Illescas
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cacereno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cacereno x Illescas
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Cacereno and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Cacereno.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Illescas.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cacereno x Illescas
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
