Calamonte x Santa Amalia Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 14

Our betting tip for Calamonte x Santa Amalia, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 11:00

Calamonte 1.70

X 3.30

Santa Amalia 4.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Calamonte x Santa Amalia:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Calamonte x Santa Amalia

Important information for your tip for Calamonte x Santa Amalia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Calamonte in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-23.0. 👉 Santa Amalia did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Calamonte scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Calamonte matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Santa Amalia matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Santa Amalia conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Santa Amalia as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Calamonte x Santa Amalia?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Calamonte x Santa Amalia:

Analysis from Calamonte x Santa Amalia for the Spain Tercera Group 14 – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Calamonte x Santa Amalia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Calamonte x Santa Amalia

Should you bet on Calamonte?

🔵 Calamonte: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $343.00
• And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$167.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $644.00
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Is betting on Santa Amalia worth it?

🔴 Santa Amalia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $805.00;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$35.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Calamonte x Santa Amalia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Calamonte
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Calamonte x Santa Amalia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Calamonte, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Calamonte.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Calamonte x Santa Amalia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.