Caldas SC x UD Santarem Betting tips for December 15 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Caldas SC x UD Santarem, Sunday, 15/12/2024

📅 15/12/2024 15:00

Caldas SC 2.26

X 3.11

UD Santarem 2.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Caldas SC x UD Santarem:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Caldas SC x UD Santarem

Important information for your tip for Caldas SC x UD Santarem: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Caldas SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Santarem in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-10.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Caldas SC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against UD Santarem, Caldas SC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Caldas SC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, UD Santarem conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Caldas SC x UD Santarem for the Portugal Liga 3 – 15 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Caldas SC and UD Santarem.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1236762 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Caldas SC x UD Santarem

Is betting on Caldas SC worth it?

🔵 Caldas SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $478.80;
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$141.20.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $590.80;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$129.20.

Should you bet on UD Santarem?

🔴 UD Santarem: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $627.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$43.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Caldas SC x UD Santarem

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Caldas SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caldas SC x UD Santarem

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Caldas SC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Caldas SC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 UD Santarem.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caldas SC x UD Santarem

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.