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Home » Predictions » Others » Caldas SC x UD Santarem Betting tips for December 19 in Portugal Liga 3
Friday, 19 December 2025, 17h45 Portugal Liga 3
Caldas SC Caldas SC
PREDICTION No tip
UD Santarem UD Santarem
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Caldas SC x UD Santarem Betting tips for December 19 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Caldas SC x UD Santarem, Friday, 19/12/2025
📅 19/12/2025
17:45
Caldas SC Caldas SC
1.96
X
3.12
UD Santarem UD Santarem
3.55

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Caldas SC x UD Santarem:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Caldas SC x UD Santarem

The main points for the tip for Caldas SC x UD Santarem:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Caldas SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-147.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Santarem in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $465.0.
👉 In the last 3 UD Santarem matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Caldas SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Caldas SC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against UD Santarem.
👉 Even as a visitor, UD Santarem won the last 3 head-to-head matches Caldas SC´s territory

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Caldas SC x UD Santarem?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Caldas SC x UD Santarem, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Caldas SC x UD Santarem for the Portugal Liga 3 – 19 of December

🏟️ Caldas SC X UD Santarem – Portugal Liga 3
📅 19 of December, 2025 – 17:45
🔵 Caldas SC – Winning probability: 51.70% | Fair line: 1.93
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.28% | Fair line: 3.54
🔴 UD Santarem – Winning probability: 20.02% | Fair line: 4.99
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Caldas SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Caldas SC and UD Santarem.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454884 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Caldas SC x UD Santarem

Is it a good idea to bet on Caldas SC?

🔵 Caldas SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.96. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $499.20;
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$19.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $593.60;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$126.40.

Is betting on UD Santarem worth it?

🔴 UD Santarem: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$290.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Caldas SC x UD Santarem

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Caldas SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caldas SC x UD Santarem

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Caldas SC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Caldas SC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caldas SC x UD Santarem

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves