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Home » Predictions » Others » Calvi Noale x Bassano Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Calvi Noale Calvi Noale
PREDICTION Calvi Noale wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
Bassano Bassano
ODD: @2.45
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Calvi Noale x Bassano Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Calvi Noale x Bassano, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
13:30
Calvi Noale Calvi Noale
2.45
X
3.22
Bassano Bassano
2.52

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Calvi Noale x Bassano:

🔮 Calvi Noale wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Calvi Noale, you can win up to $1225.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Calvi Noale x Bassano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Calvi Noale in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $577.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bassano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 Bassano did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Calvi Noale scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Bassano matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Calvi Noale is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Bassano has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Calvi Noale x Bassano for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December

🏟️ Calvi Noale X Bassano – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Calvi Noale – Winning probability: 44.94% | Fair line: 2.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.32% | Fair line: 3.8
🔴 Bassano – Winning probability: 28.74% | Fair line: 3.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Calvi Noale
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Calvi Noale x Bassano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Calvi Noale x Bassano

Is it worth betting on Calvi Noale?

🔵 Calvi Noale: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $652.50;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$102.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $577.20
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$162.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bassano?

🔴 Bassano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $440.80;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$269.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Calvi Noale x Bassano

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Calvi Noale
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Calvi Noale x Bassano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Calvi Noale, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Calvi Noale.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Calvi Noale.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Calvi Noale x Bassano

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves