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Home » Predictions » Others » Cambuur Leeuwarden x FC Den Bosch Betting tips for November 26 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 19h00 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Cambuur Leeuwarden Cambuur Leeuwarden
PREDICTION FC Den Bosch Wins Probability 20% 1 X 2
FC Den Bosch FC Den Bosch
ODD: @4.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Cambuur Leeuwarden x FC Den Bosch Betting tips for November 26 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Cambuur Leeuwarden x FC Den Bosch, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
19:00
Cambuur Leeuwarden Cambuur Leeuwarden
1.67
X
4.00
FC Den Bosch FC Den Bosch
4.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cambuur Leeuwarden x FC Den Bosch:

🔮 FC Den Bosch wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Den Bosch, you can win up to $2050.00!

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The main points for the tip for Cambuur Leeuwarden x FC Den Bosch:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cambuur Leeuwarden in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-193.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Den Bosch in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Cambuur Leeuwarden scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against FC Den Bosch, Cambuur Leeuwarden scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Cambuur Leeuwarden x FC Den Bosch, with Cambuur Leeuwarden as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, FC Den Bosch conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Cambuur Leeuwarden conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against FC Den Bosch.
👉 Cambuur Leeuwarden has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against FC Den Bosch playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for FC Den Bosch as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cambuur Leeuwarden x FC Den Bosch for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 26 of November

🏟️ Cambuur Leeuwarden X FC Den Bosch – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Cambuur Leeuwarden – Winning probability: 66.78% | Fair line: 1.5
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.73% | Fair line: 7.85
🔴 FC Den Bosch – Winning probability: 20.49% | Fair line: 4.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Cambuur Leeuwarden
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cambuur Leeuwarden x FC Den Bosch is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1227868 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cambuur Leeuwarden x FC Den Bosch

Is betting on Cambuur Leeuwarden worth it?

🔵 Cambuur Leeuwarden: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $448.90;
  • And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$118.90 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $390.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$480.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Den Bosch?

🔴 FC Den Bosch: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $620.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$180.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cambuur Leeuwarden x FC Den Bosch

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Cambuur Leeuwarden
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cambuur Leeuwarden x FC Den Bosch

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Cambuur Leeuwarden, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Cambuur Leeuwarden.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cambuur Leeuwarden x FC Den Bosch

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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