Cancun FC x Club Celaya Betting tips for March 23 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
| 📅 23/3/2025 01:00 |
 Cancun FC2.80 |
X 3.19 |
Club Celaya  2.38 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cancun FC x Club Celaya:
🔮 Cancun FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cancun FC, you can win up to $1400.00!
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The main points for the tip for Cancun FC x Club Celaya: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cancun FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $138.0. |
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Analysis from Cancun FC x Club Celaya for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 23 of March
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🏟️ Cancun FC X Club Celaya – Mexico Liga de Expansion |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cancun FC x Club Celaya right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1285926 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cancun FC x Club Celaya
Is it a good idea to bet on Cancun FC?
🔵 Cancun FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $918.00
- And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$428.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $569.40;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$170.60.
Is it worth betting on Club Celaya?
🔴 Club Celaya: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $317.40;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$452.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cancun FC x Club Celaya
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cancun FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cancun FC x Club Celaya
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cancun FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Cancun FC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Cancun FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cancun FC x Club Celaya
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
