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Home » Predictions » Others » Cape Town City x Polokwane City Betting tips for November 27 in South Africa Premier
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 17h30 South Africa Premier
Cape Town City Cape Town City
PREDICTION No tip
Polokwane City Polokwane City
Don't miss this prediction!

Cape Town City x Polokwane City Betting tips for November 27 in South Africa Premier

Our betting tip for Cape Town City x Polokwane City, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
17:30
Cape Town City Cape Town City
2.11
X
3.00
Polokwane City Polokwane City
3.48

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cape Town City x Polokwane City:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Cape Town City x Polokwane City

The main points for the tip for Cape Town City x Polokwane City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cape Town City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $135.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Polokwane City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 Cape Town City did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cape Town City x Polokwane City for the South Africa Premier – 27 of November

🏟️ Cape Town City X Polokwane City – South Africa Premier
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 Cape Town City – Winning probability: 51.48% | Fair line: 1.94
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.52% | Fair line: 3.17
🔴 Polokwane City – Winning probability: 17.01% | Fair line: 5.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cape Town City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cape Town City x Polokwane City is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cape Town City x Polokwane City

Is it worth betting on Cape Town City?

🔵 Cape Town City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – profiting $566.10;
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$76.10 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $640.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$40.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on Polokwane City?

🔴 Polokwane City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $421.60
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$408.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cape Town City x Polokwane City

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cape Town City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cape Town City x Polokwane City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Cape Town City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cape Town City. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cape Town City x Polokwane City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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