Capital CF x Aparecidense Betting tips for April 19 in Brazil Serie D
| 📅 19/4/2025 22:30 |
 Capital CF2.30 |
X 3.10 |
Aparecidense  2.98 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Capital CF x Aparecidense:
🔮 Aparecidense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aparecidense, you can win up to $1490.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Capital CF x Aparecidense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Capital CF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $230.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Capital CF x Aparecidense?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Capital CF x Aparecidense:
Analysis from Capital CF x Aparecidense for the Brazil Serie D – 19 of April
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🏟️ Capital CF X Aparecidense – Brazil Serie D |
When the best bet on Capital CF x Aparecidense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1306948 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Capital CF x Aparecidense
Is it a good idea to bet on Capital CF?
🔵 Capital CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 600 times – profiting $780.00;
- And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$380.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $315.00;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$535.00.
Should you bet on Aparecidense?
🔴 Aparecidense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $495.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$255.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Capital CF x Aparecidense
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Capital CF
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Capital CF x Aparecidense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Capital CF, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Capital CF.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Capital CF x Aparecidense
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
