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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Carabobo x Deportivo Tachira Betting tips for December 8 in Venezuela Primera Division
Sunday, 08 December 2024, 21h00 Venezuela Primera Division
Carabobo Carabobo
PREDICTION No tip
Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira
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Carabobo x Deportivo Tachira Betting tips for December 8 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Carabobo x Deportivo Tachira, Sunday, 8/12/2024
πŸ“… 8/12/2024
21:00
Carabobo Carabobo
2.85
X
2.81
Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira
2.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Carabobo x Deportivo Tachira:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Carabobo x Deportivo Tachira

Important information for your tip for Carabobo x Deportivo Tachira:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Carabobo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $24.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Tachira in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-114.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Carabobo scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Deportivo Tachira, Carabobo scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Carabobo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Carabobo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Deportivo Tachira.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, Deportivo Tachira has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Carabobo x Deportivo Tachira for the Venezuela Primera Division – 8 of December

🏟️ Carabobo X Deportivo Tachira – Venezuela Primera Division
πŸ“… 8 of December, 2024 – 21:00
πŸ”΅ Carabobo – Winning probability: 31.25% | Fair line: 3.2
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.72% | Fair line: 3.06
πŸ”΄ Deportivo Tachira – Winning probability: 36.03% | Fair line: 2.78
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Carabobo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Carabobo x Deportivo Tachira is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1234007 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Carabobo x Deportivo Tachira

Should you bet on Carabobo?

πŸ”΅ Carabobo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $573.50;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$116.50.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $597.30
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$72.70.

Is betting on Deportivo Tachira worth it?

πŸ”΄ Deportivo Tachira: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $522.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$118.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Carabobo x Deportivo Tachira

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Carabobo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Carabobo x Deportivo Tachira

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Carabobo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Carabobo.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Carabobo x Deportivo Tachira

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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