Carabobo x Monagas Betting tips for November 13 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Carabobo x Monagas, Wednesday, 13/11/2024

📅 13/11/2024 22:30

Carabobo 1.80

X 3.29

Monagas 3.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Carabobo x Monagas:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Carabobo x Monagas

The main points for the tip for Carabobo x Monagas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Carabobo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $125.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monagas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $210.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Carabobo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Carabobo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Monagas conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Carabobo has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Monagas playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Carabobo x Monagas?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Carabobo x Monagas:

Analysis from Carabobo x Monagas for the Venezuela Primera Division – 13 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Carabobo and Monagas.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1221159 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Carabobo x Monagas

Is it worth betting on Carabobo?

🔵 Carabobo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 640 times – profiting $512.00;
• And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$152.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $503.80;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$276.20.

Is it worth betting on Monagas?

🔴 Monagas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $406.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$454.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Carabobo x Monagas

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Carabobo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Carabobo x Monagas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Carabobo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Carabobo.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Carabobo x Monagas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.