Cardiff x Chelsea Betting tips for December 16 in England EFL Cup
| 📅 16/12/2025 20:00 |
 Cardiff12.25 |
X 6.22 |
Chelsea  1.21 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cardiff x Chelsea:
🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $605.00!
The main points for the tip for Cardiff x Chelsea:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cardiff in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $262.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Cardiff scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Cardiff matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
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Analysis from Cardiff x Chelsea for the England EFL Cup – 16 of December
🏟️ Cardiff X Chelsea – England EFL Cup
📅 16 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Cardiff – Winning probability: 0.45% | Fair line: 221.18
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.28% | Fair line: 78.21
🔴 Chelsea – Winning probability: 98.27% | Fair line: 1.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 Cardiff
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
When the best bet on Cardiff x Chelsea is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452259 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Cardiff x Chelsea
Is it worth betting on Cardiff?
🔵 Cardiff: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 12.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
- And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $52.20;
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$937.80.
Should you bet on Chelsea?
🔴 Chelsea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 980 times – profiting $205.80;
- And would lose other 20 times – having a loss of -$20.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$185.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cardiff x Chelsea
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 Cardiff
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cardiff x Chelsea
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +2.25 Cardiff and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.75 Cardiff.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Chelsea.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cardiff x Chelsea
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
